Barbara F. Walter Boeken

"A leading political scientist examines the dramatic rise in violent extremism around the globe and sounds the alarm on the increasing likelihood of a second civil war in the United States. Political violence rips apart several towns in southwest Texas. A far-right militia plots to kidnap the governor of Michigan and try her for treason. An armed mob of Trump supporters and conspiracy theorists storms the U.S. Capitol. Are these isolated incidents? Or is this the start of something bigger? Barbara F. Walter has spent her career studying civil conflict in places like Iraq and Sri Lanka, but now she has become increasingly worried about her own country. Perhaps surprisingly, both autocracies and healthy democracies are largely immune from civil war; it's the countries in the middle ground that are most vulnerable. And this is where more and more countries, including the United States, are finding themselves today. Over the last two decades, the number of active civil wars around the world has almost doubled. Walter reveals the warning signs--where wars tend to start, who initiates them, what triggers them--and why some countries tip over into conflict while others remain stable. Drawing on the latest international research and lessons from over twenty countries, Walter identifies the crucial risk factors, from democratic backsliding to factionalization and the politics of resentment. A civil war today won't look like America in the 1860s, Russia in the 1920s, or Spain in the 1930s. It will begin with sporadic acts of violence and terror, accelerated by social media. It will sneak up on us and leave us wondering how we could have been so blind. In this urgent and insightful book, Walter redefines civil war for a new age, providing the framework we need to confront the danger we now face--and the knowledge to stop it before it's too late"-- Provided by publisher

The study explores the dynamics of civil wars and the factors influencing the success of peace settlements. By analyzing data from conflicts between 1940 and 1992, it identifies a three-step process involving negotiation initiation, compromise, and implementation of agreements. The author highlights the critical role of third-party intervention in resolving conflicts, providing valuable insights for students, scholars, and policymakers. This comprehensive approach combines historical analysis and empirical data to challenge existing theories on civil war resolutions.

The book explores the underlying causes of civil wars stemming from self-determination disputes between governments and ethnic minorities. It delves into the political, social, and historical factors that contribute to these conflicts, analyzing case studies to illustrate the complexities of identity, power struggles, and governance. By examining the interplay between state authority and ethnic aspirations, it aims to provide insights into preventing violent escalations and fostering peaceful resolutions.

Wie wird ein Staat zu seinem eigenen Kriegsschauplatz? Immer häufiger kommt es rund um den Globus zu Bürgerkriegen. Barbara Walter ist eine der renommiertesten Expertinnen auf diesem Gebiet. Ihr Buch ist ein Weckruf – ganz besonders für die westliche Welt. Ein Bürgerkrieg kommt immer scheinbar überraschend – und er kostet Tausende das Leben, zerstört Gesellschaften und die Zukunft von Millionen Menschen. Barbara Walter forscht seit Jahrzehnten zu der Frage, welches die wiederkehrenden Muster sind, die auf eine baldige Eskalation in einer Gesellschaft hindeuten. In den USA ist Barbara Walter bekannt als Mahnerin, die gesellschaftlichen Risse zu kitten, bevor es zu spät ist. Nicht erst seit dem Sturm auf das Kapitol gehört sie zu den gefragtesten Expertinnen im Land. Ausgehend von verschiedenen Bürgerkriegen auf der ganzen Welt erklärt sie in „Bürgerkriege“ fundiert und anschaulich, unter welchen Umständen Staaten in Aufruhr und Chaos abgleiten. Ihre Erkenntnisse sind ebenso erhellend wie alarmierend.